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Giorgio Primiceri
- 2 July 2024
- FORUM ON CENTRAL BANKING - PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS
- 27 June 2024
- FORUM ON CENTRAL BANKING - PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS
- 27 June 2024
- FORUM ON CENTRAL BANKING - PAPERS AND PRESENTATIONS
- 17 September 2020
- RESEARCH BULLETIN - No. 74Details
- Abstract
- The analysis of inflation dynamics and their possible changes over time is a key input in the design of monetary policy, particularly in the context of the strategy reviews recently undertaken by the Federal Reserve System and currently under way at the European Central Bank and other central banks. In this article, we study the causes of the stability of US inflation over the business cycle since the 1990s. We conclude that it is mainly due to a reduced sensitivity of firms’ pricing decisions to their cost pressures. Ignoring this observation could impair the ability of monetary policy to steer inflation toward its objective.
- JEL Code
- E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
E32 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Business Fluctuations, Cycles
E37 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
E52 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit→Monetary Policy