Macroprudential policy and real estate markets: objectives, effectiveness and new challenges
Joint Central Bank of Malta and European Central Bank Research Workshop
Friday, 21 October 2022, Valletta
This workshop aims to foster and strengthen dialogue between policymakers and researchers, with a view to enhancing our collective understanding of how macroprudential policies function. The workshop will offer an opportunity to share and review empirical studies, state of the art models and methodological tools in the field of macroprudential policy analysis.
Programme
Times are Central European Time
* indicates the presenter
- 8:30
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Registration
- 9:00
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Opening remarks
Edward Scicluna, Governor of the Central Bank of Malta
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Session 1: LTV, LTI or both? Bringing models to the data to understand the effects of BBM instrument choice
Chair: Evangelia Rentzou, ECB
- 9:10
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Could Spain be less different? Evidence from the effects of macroprudential policy on the house price cycle
Adrián Carro Patiño*, Banco de España
Discussant: William Gatt Fenech, Central Bank of Malta
- 9:45
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Borrower-Based Measures, House Prices and Household Debt
Francesco Caloia*, DNB
Discussant: Carmen Broto Pelegrín, Banco de España
- 10:20
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Coffee break
- 10:35
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Keynote address “A Broader View of Housing-Market Macroprudential Measures”
Professor Philip Davis, Brunel University London, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, International Monetary Fund
Session 2: Bigger deposit or a smaller house? Using microdata to understand the response to BBM introduction
Chair: Alan Cassar, Central Bank of Malta
- 11:10
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The impact of a macroprudential borrower based measure on households’ leverage and housing choices
- Daniel Abreu*, Banco de Portugal
- Sonia Felix, Banco de Portugal
- Victor Oliveira, Banco de Portugal
- Fátima Silva, Banco de Portugal
Discussant: Elena Durante, Central Bank of Ireland
- 11:45
The effects of a macroprudential loosening: the importance of borrowers' choices
- Elena Durante*, Central Bank of Ireland
- Fergal McCann, Central Bank of Ireland
Discussant: Fátima Silva, Banco de Portugal
- 12:20
Lunch
- 13:20
Policy panel
Macroprudential policy: objectives, effectiveness and new challengesModerator: John Fell, Deputy Director General Macroprudential Policy and Financial Stability, ECB
Panelists:
- Professor Philip Davis, Brunel University London
- Sarah Venables, Senior Policy Adviser at Bank of England
- Deniz Igan, Head of Macroeconomic Analysis BIS
Session 3: Macroprudential policy – unintended consequences
Chair: Tomas Garbaravičius, MPPG Co-Chair
- 14:35
Wealth inequality and the distributional effects of maximum loan-to-value ratio policy
William Gatt Fenech*, Central Bank of Malta
Discussant: Julien Idier, Banque de France
- 15:10
The leverage-liquidity trade-off of mortgage regulation
- Ragnar Juelsru*, Norges Bank
- Knut Are Aastveit, Norges Bank
- Ella Getz Wold, Norges Bank
Discussant: Simona Malovana, CNB
- 15:45
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Coffee break
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Session 4: Bias and anticipation effects – what might the literature be missing?
Chair: Carsten Detken, MPPG Co-Chair
- 16:00
Effects of LTV announcements in EU economies
- Dimitris Mokas*, European Banking Authority
- Massimo Giuliodori, European Banking Authority
Discussant: Ashleigh Neill, Central Bank of Malta
- 16:35
Borrower based measures: How biased is the existing literature?
- Simona Malovana*, CNB
- Martin Hodula, CNB
- Zuzana Gric, CNB
- Josef Bajzíkc, CNB
Discussant: Ragnar Juelsrud, Norges Bank
- 17:10
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Closing remarks
- 17:30
End of workshop
General information
Venue
Valletta
Conference language
English
Organisers
- Carsten Detken, MPPG Co-Chair, ECB
- Tomas Garbaravičius, MPPG Co-Chair, Lietuvos bankas
- Alan Cassar, FSC Member, Central Bank of Malta
- Stephen Attard, MPPG Member, Central Bank of Malta
- Ellen Ryan, MPPG Secretary, ECB
- Anne McTaggart, MPPG Secretariat, ECB
- Melpomeni Rafailaki, MPPG Secretariat, ECB
- Marco Lo Duca, Advisor, ECB
Contacts
Organising committee
WorkshopMacropru@ecb.int
ECB-MPPG Secretariat
- Anne McTaggart
+49 69 1344 6372 - Melpomeni Rafailaki
+49 69 1344 6460
MPPGSecretariat@ecb.int